YES if 4 or more qualifying products publicly launch between January 1, 2026 00:00 UTC and December 31, 2026 23:59 UTC. NO if 3 or fewer qualify. A product qualifies if all of the following conditions are met: Name requirement The product name must be an unambiguous pun, misspelling, or derivative of “Claude” (for example: ClawdAI, ClodeBot). Indirect references or unrelated names do not qualify. Product type The product must be an AI-powered platform such as a chatbot, AI assistant, tool, or application using large language models. Public launch requirement The product must be publicly accessible and accompanied by a verifiable public launch announcement. Duplicate handling Multiple releases, versions, or rebrands from the same project team count as one product. Private-to-public launches Products launched privately before 2026 but made publicly available in 2026 count as a 2026 launch. If there is insufficient verifiable public evidence for a product, it will not be counted.

This market predicts whether more than three AI-powered platform variants whose names are clear puns, misspellings, or derivatives of “Claude” (for example: Clawd, Clode) will publicly launch in 2026. A qualifying product must have a name that is an unambiguous derivative of “Claude” and must ship a public launch, meaning it is officially released and accessible to users via a website, app store, or public API, with a verifiable announcement from the project team. Only distinct products from separate projects or entities are counted.