YES if there is credible evidence that Donald Trump, or an administration influenced by him, sends Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026. NO if there is no credible evidence of such deployment by the specified date. If Mr. Trump is not in a relevant position to influence U.S. policy, the market may resolve based on his publicly stated intentions or efforts to send missiles, but this would require significant evidence of potential action.

This market predicts whether by March 31, 2026, the Trump administration will send Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine. The outcome will be determined by official government announcements, press releases, or credible news sources indicating the deployment of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine. Note: This scenario assumes Donald Trump is in a position to make such decisions, such as holding the U.S. presidency or having significant influence over U.S. foreign policy and military actions. If another administration or entity is in power, the relevance of this market may change.